Neglected Tropical Diseases

Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs) such as Schistosomiasis (also knows as bilharzia, bilharziosis or snail fever) and Onchocerciasis are normally caused by worms or bacteria in tropical climates. They can be treated very cheaply using a “rapid impact package” of five important drugs that need only be taken once a year and do not require refrigeration. Such NTD interventions typically have a range of additional positive side-effects. As two of the most cost-effective charities that we have found, we recommend Schistosomiasis Control Initiative and Deworm the World.

The Diseases

The term ‘neglected tropical diseases’ (or NTDs) covers 15 diseases that have often been overlooked in the battle against poverty.  We think they might be among the most cost-effective ways of helping people, making them a particularly important area for research. The most prevalent of the NTDs are:

Soil-transmitted Helminthiasis

Schistosomiasis

Lymphatic Filariasis (LF)

Onchocerciasis

Trachoma


The first four of these are caused by parasitic worms inside one's body, while Trachoma is bacterial.

The Treatment

These conditions can each be treated/prevented by taking the appropriate medication every 6–24 months. Recently people have started using a combination of five drugs, known as the rapid impact package, which allows all of the above diseases to be treated at once.

There are many reasons that help these treatments be unusually cost-effective.

  • The drugs need only be given once a year, and treatment through school years can offer life-long protection.
  • The drugs are cheap to buy at market rates, and are often donated by pharmaceutical companies.
  • The drugs keep for 4 years and do not require refrigeration, which makes distribution easier.
  • The high proportion of people infected, the very low price of the drugs, and the fact that the drugs are safe to take even if one is not infected, mean that everyone in an affected area can be given the drug. Thus there is no need for a potentially costly screening process.
  • There is considerable geographical overlap and coinfection of these diseases, so it is often possible to treat many of them with one package of four drugs.
  • Because these diseases have been neglected in the past, the easiest and most cost-effective interventions have still not been performed.

Cost-Effectiveness

Previously, we thought that this “combination deworming” approach was extremely cost-effective, with DCP2 estimating its cost-effectiveness to be as good as $3.41 per DALY. However, GiveWell subsequently discovered major problems with DCP2's methodology. Correcting for these errors requires an adjustment in cost per DALY of roughly 100x. GiveWell’s own estimate of the cost per “life-equivalent” saved through combination deworming is between $500 and $5000, which corresponds to roughly 5 to 50 DALYs averted per $1000. Translating 'save a life' as 30 years of DALYs, suggests around $170 per DALY.

However, we've also discovered several methodological issues which pull in the opposite direction, suggesting this may underestimate the cost-effectiveness of NTD treatment. Our estimate is between $30-80 per DALY, which is on the same range as our estimate for insecticide-treated bednets, though considerable work remains to be done.

Reasons to be optimistic about NTD treatment.

    There are several reasons to suspect the Givewell estimate is an underestimate.

  • Because the burden of NTDs tends to be from lower quality of life and economic efficiency rather than deaths, the DALYs associated with curing them depends greatly on the associated disability weight. However, some argue that the Global Burden of Disease methodology, which hasn't been revised for decades, unfairly under-estimates how bad it is to live with one of these diseases.6
  • It's possible that there are substantial education benefits to treating NTDs, as the conditions inhibit children's ability to go to school and invest in human capital in other ways. The Cochrane report raised suspicions about the significance of these effects,7 but other experts in the field disagree.8The low cost of these interventions means that even small benefits, difficult to statistically distinguish from zero, could be extremely cost-effective.
  • Finally, a controversial benefit is that of leveraging government funding. SCI and Deworm the World both have good records of handing over their programs to local governments, which continue funding them after a charity has moved on. This potentially allows donors to leverage their donations by redirecting a large amount of taxpayer funding which would otherwise probably be spent on less desirable causes. We estimate this could increase the cost-effectiveness of NTD donations by around 5 times. By not considering this multiplier, the GiveWell estimate effectively sets it to 1, which is unrealistically low. Since this number makes such a big difference, it needs to be taken into account and we need more information on a realistic range for it. However, these benefits are difficult to model - the issue of who is leveraging whom is particularly problematic.

Negative side-effects:

          • It is possible that the parasites may become resistant to drugs over time.9 However, it is not clear whether this is a major issue10 and the WHO are sufficiently aware of the problem that they are taking steps to maintain drug efficacy.11

Reference:

10. Personal communication with Professor Alan Fenwick of Imperial College. (Close footnote)

Reference:

11. Lawrence D, 2008. ‘What's in a name? Drug resistance in helminth parasites’, The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 8:536–536. (Close footnote)

 

Why are NTDs so little-known?

There are several reasons why these conditions have received relatively little attention.

  • Unlike HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis, they do not affect rich countries, and therefore do not receive as much publicity within those countries. This means that it is more difficult for people in rich countries to know about them, and to empathize with those who suffer from them. It also means that there is little research done on them, so the extent of the damage that they cause was not appreciated until very recently.
  • NTDs have lower mortality rates than HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria. It is easier to convey the importance of diseases that are more likely to cause death.

Conclusion

Unfortunately, it has turned out that combination deworming is not as cost-effective as DCP2 estimated it to be. However, the more reliable estimates from GiveWell still show it to be fairly cost-effective, and there is some reason to think that these estimates may be on the lower than the true value. We therefore continue to believe that de-worming charities are worth recommending. In particular, we recommend Schistosomiasis Control Initiative (SCI) and Deworm the World. For more information about them, see our list of recommended charities.